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Advances in Science and Research Contributions in Applied Meteorology and Climatology
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Volume 4, issue 1
Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 5–7, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 5–7, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  19 Feb 2010

19 Feb 2010

Observability of planetary waves and their predictability in the ECMWF H500 forecasts

D. M. Sonechkin D. M. Sonechkin
  • P. P. Shirshov Oceanology Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russia

Abstract. The problem of a hard contradiction between limited possibilities of meteorological observations and uncontrolled complication of the present-day weather forecasting models, and its consequences for the planetary wave predictability are considered with examples from the ECMWF short- and medium-range H500 forecasts for the Northern Hemisphere. A supposition is voiced that this problem adds difficulties to the weekly predictability limit overcoming.

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