Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 5–7, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010
Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 5–7, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010

  19 Feb 2010

19 Feb 2010

Observability of planetary waves and their predictability in the ECMWF H500 forecasts

D. M. Sonechkin D. M. Sonechkin
  • P. P. Shirshov Oceanology Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russia

Abstract. The problem of a hard contradiction between limited possibilities of meteorological observations and uncontrolled complication of the present-day weather forecasting models, and its consequences for the planetary wave predictability are considered with examples from the ECMWF short- and medium-range H500 forecasts for the Northern Hemisphere. A supposition is voiced that this problem adds difficulties to the weekly predictability limit overcoming.

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