Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research
ASR
Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-51-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-51-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
14 Apr 2015
 | 14 Apr 2015

Towards an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system (En-INCA)

M. Suklitsch, A. Kann, and B. Bica

Abstract. Ensemble prediction systems are becoming of more and more interest for various applications. Especially ensemble nowcasting systems are increasingly requested by different end users. In this study we introduce such an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system, En-INCA. In a case study we show the added value and increased skill of the new system and demonstrate the improved performance in comparison with a state-of-the-art LAM-EPS.

How to cite. Suklitsch, M., Kann, A., and Bica, B.: Towards an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system (En-INCA), Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 51–55, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-51-2015, 2015.
Received: 16 Jan 2015 – Revised: 17 Mar 2015 – Accepted: 01 Apr 2015 – Published: 14 Apr 2015
Download
Short summary
Ensemble prediction systems are becoming of more and more interest for various applications. They are used to account for uncertainties that exist from the very beginning of a forecast due to the chaotic behavior of atmospheric processes as well as approximations in numerical models. Ensemble nowcasting systems are therefore increasingly requested by end users. In this study we show that En-INCA, an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system, is able to improve existing state-of-the-art LAM-EPS.
Read more