How seasonal forecast could help a decision maker:  an example of climate  service for water resource management

Viel, Christian; Beaulant, Anne-Lise; Soubeyroux, Jean-Michel; Céron, Jean-Pierre

doi:10.5194/asr-13-51-2016

Articles | Volume 13

https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-13-51-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-13-51-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 13

12 Apr 2016

| 12 Apr 2016

How seasonal forecast could help a decision maker: an example of climate service for water resource management

Christian Viel, Anne-Lise Beaulant, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, and Jean-Pierre Céron

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Apr 2016	35	7	4	46
May 2016	39	10	0	49
Jun 2016	44	7	1	52
Jul 2016	71	2	1	74
Aug 2016	33	5	0	38
Sep 2016	69	3	1	73
Oct 2016	25	4	0	29
Nov 2016	18	0	18
Dec 2016	15	3	0	18
Jan 2017	37	11	0	48
Feb 2017	19	4	1	24
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Jan 2018	9	10	0	19
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Apr 2018	4	7	0	11
May 2018	4	10	0	14
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Jan 2020	9	7	0	16
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Jan 2021	7	9	0	16
Feb 2021	9	8	0	17
Mar 2021	11	8	0	19
Apr 2021	10	2	0	12
May 2021	22	8	2	32
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Jul 2021	7	8	0	15
Aug 2021	9	5	0	14
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Mar 2022	6	10	0	16
Apr 2022	6	7	0	13
May 2022	10	5	1	16
Jun 2022	8	6	0	14
Jul 2022	9	7	0	16
Aug 2022	6	3	0	9
Sep 2022	13	15	2	30
Oct 2022	9	8	2	19
Nov 2022	10	10	1	21
Dec 2022	11	5	1	17
Jan 2023	9	8	0	17
Feb 2023	13	1	0	14
Mar 2023	19	9	2	30
Apr 2023	1	7	0	8
May 2023	6	8	0	14
Jun 2023	5	7	1	13
Jul 2023	6	1	0	7
Aug 2023	5	7	2	14
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Oct 2023	8	2	1	11
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Dec 2023	8	4	2	14
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Feb 2024	5	5	0	10
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Apr 2024	8	7	2	17
May 2024	8	5	1	14
Jun 2024	48	5	3	56
Jul 2024	22	6	4	32
Aug 2024	50	11	8	69
Sep 2024	13	4	3	20
Oct 2024	22	8	2	32
Nov 2024	37	4	1	42
Dec 2024	20	3	2	25
Jan 2025	8	5	0	13
Feb 2025	25	4	1	30
Mar 2025	12	10	3	25
Apr 2025	30	14	0	44
May 2025	16	7	1	24
Jun 2025	34	9	0	43
Jul 2025	34	14	1	49
Aug 2025	28	11	3	42
Sep 2025	51	16	2	69
Oct 2025	28	14	2	44
Nov 2025	20	9	1	30

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 12 Apr 2016)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Apr 2016	35	7	4	46
May 2016	39	10	0	49
Jun 2016	44	7	1	52
Jul 2016	71	2	1	74
Aug 2016	33	5	0	38
Sep 2016	69	3	1	73
Oct 2016	25	4	0	29
Nov 2016	18	0	18
Dec 2016	15	3	0	18
Jan 2017	37	11	0	48
Feb 2017	19	4	1	24
Mar 2017	14	9	0	23
Apr 2017	28	8	1	37
May 2017	20	7	2	29
Jun 2017	16	3	2	21
Jul 2017	10	4	0	14
Aug 2017	4	5	0	9
Sep 2017	8	9	0	17
Oct 2017	11	5	0	16
Nov 2017	12	10	1	23
Dec 2017	5	6	0	11
Jan 2018	9	10	0	19
Feb 2018	15	7	4	26
Mar 2018	8	6	0	14
Apr 2018	4	7	0	11
May 2018	4	10	0	14
Jun 2018	13	10	1	24
Jul 2018	9	11	0	20
Aug 2018	10	6	0	16
Sep 2018	9	11	0	20
Oct 2018	9	8	0	17
Nov 2018	13	9	0	22
Dec 2018	9	11	0	20
Jan 2019	4	8	0	12
Feb 2019	6	5	1	12
Mar 2019	8	15	0	23
Apr 2019	5	2	0	7
May 2019	9	10	0	19
Jun 2019	6	8	0	14
Jul 2019	2	3	0	5
Aug 2019	6	7	0	13
Sep 2019	5	7	0	12
Oct 2019	10	10	0	20
Nov 2019	7	4	1	12
Dec 2019	7	8	0	15
Jan 2020	9	7	0	16
Feb 2020	9	6	0	15
Mar 2020	9	6	0	15
Apr 2020	9	8	1	18
May 2020	7	7	1	15
Jun 2020	27	9	1	37
Jul 2020	38	34	31	103
Aug 2020	4	5	2	11
Sep 2020	8	0	8
Oct 2020	9	7	2	18
Nov 2020	14	6	0	20
Dec 2020	11	10	0	21
Jan 2021	7	9	0	16
Feb 2021	9	8	0	17
Mar 2021	11	8	0	19
Apr 2021	10	2	0	12
May 2021	22	8	2	32
Jun 2021	13	6	0	19
Jul 2021	7	8	0	15
Aug 2021	9	5	0	14
Sep 2021	6	8	0	14
Oct 2021	12	19	0	31
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Jan 2022	15	12	0	27
Feb 2022	9	7	1	17
Mar 2022	6	10	0	16
Apr 2022	6	7	0	13
May 2022	10	5	1	16
Jun 2022	8	6	0	14
Jul 2022	9	7	0	16
Aug 2022	6	3	0	9
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Oct 2022	9	8	2	19
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Dec 2022	11	5	1	17
Jan 2023	9	8	0	17
Feb 2023	13	1	0	14
Mar 2023	19	9	2	30
Apr 2023	1	7	0	8
May 2023	6	8	0	14
Jun 2023	5	7	1	13
Jul 2023	6	1	0	7
Aug 2023	5	7	2	14
Sep 2023	4	2	0	6
Oct 2023	8	2	1	11
Nov 2023	13	0	13
Dec 2023	8	4	2	14
Jan 2024	4	2	0	6
Feb 2024	5	5	0	10
Mar 2024	11	6	1	18
Apr 2024	8	7	2	17
May 2024	8	5	1	14
Jun 2024	48	5	3	56
Jul 2024	22	6	4	32
Aug 2024	50	11	8	69
Sep 2024	13	4	3	20
Oct 2024	22	8	2	32
Nov 2024	37	4	1	42
Dec 2024	20	3	2	25
Jan 2025	8	5	0	13
Feb 2025	25	4	1	30
Mar 2025	12	10	3	25
Apr 2025	30	14	0	44
May 2025	16	7	1	24
Jun 2025	34	9	0	43
Jul 2025	34	14	1	49
Aug 2025	28	11	3	42
Sep 2025	51	16	2	69
Oct 2025	28	14	2	44
Nov 2025	20	9	1	30

Latest update: 23 Nov 2025

Short summary

The use of seasonal forecast, combined with an impact model, could have a tangible positive effect on long-term decisions. This paper presents such an example for the management of a dam in France, studied in the framework of the FP7 project EUPORIAS. It details the assessment process, lead in collaboration with the stakeholder, especially the evaluation of the decision itself. It demonstrates that the introduction of relevant climate products could significantly improve existing practice.