Monthly frequencies of circulation types (derived by clustering fields of SLP, vertical wind and rel. humidity at 700 hPa and regional rainfall series) are used as predictors in regression models for monthly frequencies of regional precipitation extremes (> 95 % percentile). With predictor output from global climate models, changes in regional precipitation extremes for 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 are assessed, most distinctive in summer: increasing/decreasing extremes for the earlier/later period.