Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-179-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-179-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
24 Jul 2015
Spatial patterns of European droughts under a moderate emission scenario
J. Spinoni
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, Ispra, Italy
G. Naumann
CONICET, National Scientific Technical and Research Council, Buenos Aires, Argentina
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for the Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy
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Short summary
This paper investigates meteorological droughts in Europe for the periods 1981-2010, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 under a moderate emissions scenario. SPI and SPEI are used to analyze drought frequency, duration, severity, and intensity. Results show that southern Europe is likely to be hit by longer, more frequent, severe, and intense droughts in the near future (2041-2070) and even more in the far future (2071-2100), while less severe and fewer drought events are likely to occur in northern Europe.
This paper investigates meteorological droughts in Europe for the periods 1981-2010, 2041-2070...
