Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
24 Jul 2015
 | 24 Jul 2015

Spatial patterns of European droughts under a moderate emission scenario

J. Spinoni, G. Naumann, and J. Vogt

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Short summary
This paper investigates meteorological droughts in Europe for the periods 1981-2010, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 under a moderate emissions scenario. SPI and SPEI are used to analyze drought frequency, duration, severity, and intensity. Results show that southern Europe is likely to be hit by longer, more frequent, severe, and intense droughts in the near future (2041-2070) and even more in the far future (2071-2100), while less severe and fewer drought events are likely to occur in northern Europe.