Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 31–36, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-31-2015
Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 31–36, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-31-2015
 
02 Apr 2015
02 Apr 2015

The verification of seasonal precipitation forecasts for early warning in Zambia and Malawi

O. Hyvärinen et al.

Viewed

Total article views: 1,441 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
829 527 85 1,441 115 148
  • HTML: 829
  • PDF: 527
  • XML: 85
  • Total: 1,441
  • BibTeX: 115
  • EndNote: 148
Views and downloads (calculated since 02 Apr 2015)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 02 Apr 2015)

Cited

Latest update: 08 Dec 2022
Download
Short summary
We assessed the quality of the seasonal precipitation forecasts issued by Regional Climate Outlook Forum for Malawi and Zambia. The forecasts, issued in August, are of rainy season rainfall accumulations for early and late season. The forecasts are rather well-calibrated, but cannot discriminate between different events. But these results can be too pessimistic, because forecasts have gone through much development lately, and forecasts using current methodology might have performed better.