Articles | Volume 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-191-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-191-2018
23 Aug 2018
 | 23 Aug 2018

Creating a proof-of-concept climate service to assess future renewable energy mixes in Europe: An overview of the C3S ECEM project

Alberto Troccoli, Clare Goodess, Phil Jones, Lesley Penny, Steve Dorling, Colin Harpham, Laurent Dubus, Sylvie Parey, Sandra Claudel, Duc-Huy Khong, Philip E. Bett, Hazel Thornton, Thierry Ranchin, Lucien Wald, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Matteo De Felice, David Brayshaw, Emma Suckling, Barbara Percy, and Jon Blower

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Cited articles

Becker, A., Finger, P., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Rudolf, B., Schamm, K., Schneider, U., and Ziese, M.: A description of the global land-surface precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre with sample applications including centennial (trend) analysis from 1901–present, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 5, 71–99, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-5-71-2013, 2013.
Bett, P. E., Scaife, A. A., Li, C., Hewitt, C., Golding, N., Zhang, P., Dunstone, N., Smith, D. M., Thornton, H. E., Lu, R., and Ren, H.-L.: Seasonal forecasts of the summer 2016 Yangtze River basin rainfall, Adv. Atmos. Sci., in press, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7210-y, 2018a.
Bett, P. E., Thornton, H., and Troccoli, A.: Skill assessment of energy-relevant climate variables in a selection of seasonal forecast models, ECEM Deliverable report D2.2.1, version 2, 57 pp., available at: http://ecem.wemcouncil.org/pdf/C3S_441_Lot2_ECEM_D2.2.1_201701_SeasonalSkillAssessementOfECVs_v2.pdf (last access: 3 July 2018), 2018b.
Bloomfield, H. C., Brayshaw, D. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Coker, P. J., and Thornton, H. E.: Quantifying the increasing sensitivity of power systems to climate variability, Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 1748–9326, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124025, 2016.
Bojinski, S., Verstraete, M., Peterson, T. C., Richter, C., Simmons, A., and Zemp, M.: The concept of essential climate variables in support of climate research, applications, and policy, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 95, 1431–1443, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00047.1, 2014.
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Short summary
The European Climatic Energy Mixes, an EU Copernicus Climate Change Service project, has produced, in close collaboration with prospective users, a proof-of-concept climate service, or Demonstrator, designed to enable the energy industry assess how well different energy supply mixes in Europe will meet demand, over different time horizons (from seasonal to long-term decadal planning), focusing on the role climate has on the mixes. Its concept, methodology and some results are presented here.