Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research
ASR
Articles | Volume 22
Articles | Volume 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-22-39-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-22-39-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 22
29 Jul 2025
 | 29 Jul 2025

Bridging the gap between ensemble forecasting and end-user needs for decision-making on high-impact events

Matteo Ponzano, Bruno Joly, Isabelle Beau, Elvis Renard, and Gregory Fifre

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Short summary
Weather forecasts that include uncertainty can be difficult to interpret and apply to real decisions. This study presents simplified and user-friendly tools developed in collaboration with professionals to make probabilistic forecasts more accessible. Tested to heat stress during the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games and late frost in vineyards, these tools help anticipate risks and support earlier, more informed, and more effective responses.
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