Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research
ASR
Articles | Volume 23
Articles | Volume 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-23-1-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-23-1-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23
18 Jun 2026
 | 18 Jun 2026

Which forecast errors matter most? Assessing public priorities in weather forecast accuracy

Christoph Sauter and Kathrin Wapler

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Short summary
Weather forecasts have greatly improved over recent decades, yet errors remain. We studied how people judge different types of forecast errors using two short surveys. People rated errors differently depending on their consequences, with forecasts that underestimated the intensity and persistence of events judged most negatively. These findings show what forecast users value and contribute to the development of verification methods that better reflect public needs.
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