A robust method to identify cyclone tracks from gridded data

Kreienkamp, F.; Spekat, A.; Enke, W.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-105-2010

Articles | Volume 4, issue 1

Article
Metrics
Related articles

Articles | Volume 4, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-105-2010

Articles | Volume 4, issue 1

Article
Metrics
Related articles

15 Nov 2010

| 15 Nov 2010

A robust method to identify cyclone tracks from gridded data

F. Kreienkamp, A. Spekat, and W. Enke

F. Kreienkamp

Climate & Environment Consulting Potsdam GmbH, David-Gilly-Str. 1, 14469 Potsdam, Germany

A. Spekat

Climate & Environment Consulting Potsdam GmbH, David-Gilly-Str. 1, 14469 Potsdam, Germany

W. Enke

Climate & Environment Consulting Potsdam GmbH, David-Gilly-Str. 1, 14469 Potsdam, Germany

Related subject area

Dynamics and predictability of high impact weather

Sensitivity of a long-range numerical weather forecast model to small changes of model parameters

M. B. Gavrilov, G. R. Jovanović, and Z. Janjić

Adv. Sci. Res., 6, 13–18, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-6-13-2011,https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-6-13-2011, 2011

Observability of planetary waves and their predictability in the ECMWF H500 forecasts

D. M. Sonechkin

Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 5–7, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010,https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-4-5-2010, 2010

Cited articles

Anagnostopoulou, Chr., Tolika, K., Flocas, H., and Maheras, P.: Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: present and future climate scenarios derived from a general circulation model (HadAM3P), Adv. Geosci., 7, 9–14, https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-7-9-2006, 2006.

Bengtsson, L.: Advances and prospects in numerical weather prediction, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 117, 855–902, 1991.

Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K., and Roeckner, E.: Storm Tracks and Climate Change, J. Climate, 19, 3518–3543, 2006.

Blender, R. and Schubert, M.: Cyclone tracking in different spatial and temporal resolutions, Mon. Weather Rev., 128, 377–384, 2008.

Carnell, R., Senior, C., and Mitchell, J.: An assessment of measures of storminess: Simulated changes in northern hemisphere winter due to increasing CO₂., Clim. Dynam., 12, 467–476, 1996.

Christensen, J., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, I., Jones, R., Kolli, R., Kwon, W.-T., Laprise, R., Rueda, V. M., Mearns, L., Men{é}ndez, C., R{ä}is{ä}nen, J., Rinke, A., Sarr, A., and Whetton, P.: Regional Climate Projections, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge Unversity Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, Chap. 11, 847–940, 2007.

Cressman, P.: An operational objective analysis system, Mon. Weather Rev., 87, 548–553, 1959.

Fritzschner, U. and Lux, G.: Starkniederschläge in Sachsen im August 2002, Tech. Rep., Deutscher Wetterdienst, 2002.

Hanson, C., Palutikof, J., and Davies, T.: Objective cyclone climatologies of the North Atlantic – a comparison between the ECMWF and NCEP Reanalyses, Clim. Dynam., 22, 757–769, 2004.

Hegerl, G., Zwiers, F., Braconnot, P., Gillett, N., Luo, Y., Orsini, J. M., Nicholls, N., Penner, J., and Stott, P.: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, Chap. 9, 663–746, 2007.

Homar, V., Jansà, A., Campins, J., Genovés, A., and Ramis, C.: Towards a systematic climatology of sensitivities of Mediterranean high impact weather: a contribution based on intense cyclones, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 445–454, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-7-445-2007, 2007.

Hoskins, B. and Valdes, P.: On the existence of storm-tracks, J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 1854–1864, 1990.

IPCC: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, ISBN: 978 0521 70596-7, 2007.

Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., Whitea, G., Woolen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, R., Jenne, R., and Joseph, D.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year Reanalysis Project, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437–471, 1996.

Lambert, S.: The effect of enhanced greenhouse warming on winter cyclone frequencies and strengths, J. Climate, 8, 1447–1452, 1995.

Lau, N.-C.: Variability of the observed midlatitude storm tracks in relation to low-frequency changes in the circulation pattern, J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 2718–2743, 1988.

Lionello, P. and Giorgi, F.: Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation, Adv. Geosci., 12, 153–158, https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-12-153-2007, 2007.

Lionello, P., Dalan, F., and Elvini, E.: Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: The present and the doubled CO₂ climate scenarios, Clim. Res., 22, 147–159, 2002.

Lionello, P., Malanotte-Rizzoli, P., and Boscolo, R. (Eds.): Mediterranean Climate Variability, Elsevier, 2006.

Lionello, P., Boldrin, U., and Giorgi, F.: Future changes in cyclone climatology over Europe as inferred from a regional climate simulation, Clim. Dynam., 30, 657–671, 2008.

Meehl, G., Stocker, T., Collins, W., Friedlingstein, P., Gaye, A., Gregory, J., Kitoh, A., Knutti, R., Murphy, J., Noda, A., Raper, S., Watterson, I., Weaver, A., and Zhao, Z.-C.: Global Climate Projections, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, Chap. 10, 747–846, 2007.

Petterssen, S.: Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vol. I, Motion and Motion Systems, 2nd Edn., McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1956.

Pinto, J., Spangehl, T., Ulbrich, U., and Speth, P.: Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment, Meteorol. Z., 15, 279–291, 2006.

Raible, C., Della-Marta, P., Schwierz, C., Wernli, H., and Blender, R.: Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones: A Compaision of Detection and Tracking Methods and Different Reanalyses, Mon. Weather Rev., 136, 880–897, 2008.

Randall, D., Wood, R., Bony, S., Colman, R., Fichefet, T., Fyfe, J., Kattsov, V., Pitman, A., Shukla, J., Srinivasan, J., Stouffer, R., Sumi, A., and Taylor, K.: Climate Models and Their Evaluation, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, Chap. 8, 589–662, 2007.

Rossby, C.: Relation Between Variations in the Intensity of the Zonal Circulation of the Atmosphäre and the Displacements of the Semi-Permanent Centers in Action, J. Mar. Res., 2, 38–55, 1939.

Schubert, M., Perlwitz, J., Blender, R., Fraedrich, K., and Lunkeit, F.: North Atlantic cyclones in CO₂ induced warm climate simulations: Frequency, intensity, and tracks., Clim. Dynam., 14, 827–837, 1998.

Sinclair, M.: Objective Identification of Cyclones and Their Circulation Intensity, and Climatology, Weather Forecast., 12, 595–612, 1997.

Trenberth, K., Jones, P., Ambenje, P., Bojariu, R., Easterling, D., Tank, A. K., Parker, D., Rahimzadeh, F., Renwick, J., Rusticucci, M., Soden, B., and Zhai, P.: Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA, Chap. 3, 235–336, 2007.

Ulbrich, U., Fink, A., Klawa, M., and Pinto, J.: Three extreme storms over Europe in December 1999, Weather, 56, 70–80, 2001.

Uppala, S., Kållberg, P., Simmons, A., Andrae, U., da Costa Bechtold, V., Fiorino, M., J., J. G., Haseler, Hernandez, A., Kelly, G., Li, X., Onogi, K., Saarinen, S., Sokka, N., Allan, R., Andersson, E., Arpe, K., Balmaseda, M., Beljaars, A., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Caires, S., Chevallier, F., Dethof, A., Dragosavac, M., Fisher, M., Fuentes, M., Hagemann, S., H{ó}lm, E., Isaksen, B. H. L., Janssen, P., Jenne, R., McNally, A., Mahfouf, J.-F., Morcrette, J.-J., Rayner, N., Saunders, R., Simon, P., Sterl, A., Trenberth, K., Untch, A., Vasiljevic, D., Viterbo, P., and Woollen, J.: The ERA-40 re-analysis, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961–3012, 2005.

van Bebber, W.: Die Zugstrassen der barometrischen Minima, Meteorol. Z., 8, 361–366, 1891.

Wernli, H. and Schweiz, C.: Surface Cyclones in the ERA-40 Dataset (1958-2001). Part I: Novel Identification Method and Global Climatology, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2486–2507, 2006.