Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research
ASR
Articles | Volume 14
Articles | Volume 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-14-89-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-14-89-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14
24 Apr 2017
 | 24 Apr 2017

Long-range forecasts for the energy market – a case study

Otto Hyvärinen, Antti Mäkelä, Matti Kämäräinen, and Hilppa Gregow

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Latest update: 21 Jan 2025
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Short summary
Finnish Meteorological Institute and Helen Ltd examined the feasibility of long-range forecasts (longer than two weeks) of temperature for needs of the energy sector in Helsinki, Finland. In this study, we examined the quality of Heating degree day (HDD) forecasts. As the forecasts we used UK Met Office seasonal forecasts. The long-range forecasts of monthly HDD showed some skill in Helsinki in winter 2015–2016, up to two months, especially if the very cold January is excluded.
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