21 Apr 2023
| 21 Apr 2023
Spatiotemporal investigation of wet–cold compound events in Greece
Iason Markantonis
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
NCSR “Demokritos”, Environmental Research Laboratory, 15341 Agia
Paraskevi, Greece
Department of Physics, University of Patras, University Campus, 26504 Rio, Patras, Greece
Diamando Vlachogiannis
NCSR “Demokritos”, Environmental Research Laboratory, 15341 Agia
Paraskevi, Greece
Athanasios Sfetsos
NCSR “Demokritos”, Environmental Research Laboratory, 15341 Agia
Paraskevi, Greece
Ioannis Kioutsioukis
Department of Physics, University of Patras, University Campus, 26504 Rio, Patras, Greece
Nadia Politi
NCSR “Demokritos”, Environmental Research Laboratory, 15341 Agia
Paraskevi, Greece
Related authors
Iason Markantonis, Diamando Vlachogiannis, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1491–1504, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This work focuses on the study of daily wet–cold compound events in Greece in the period November–April. We firstly study the historic period 1980–2004 in which we validate projection models with observations. Then we compare the model results with future period 2025–2049 RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The aim of the study is to calculate the probability of the events and to locate the areas where those are higher and how the probabilities will change at the future.
Brian T. Dinkelacker, Pablo Garcia Rivera, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Peter J. Adams, and Spyros N. Pandis
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 8899–8912, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-8899-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-8899-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The performance of a chemical transport model in reproducing PM2.5 concentrations and composition was evaluated at the finest scale using measurements from regulatory sites as well as a network of low-cost monitors. Total PM2.5 mass is reproduced well by the model during the winter when compared to regulatory measurements, but in the summer PM2.5 is underpredicted, mainly due to difficulties in reproducing regional secondary organic aerosol levels.
Iason Markantonis, Diamando Vlachogiannis, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Ioannis Kioutsioukis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1491–1504, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This work focuses on the study of daily wet–cold compound events in Greece in the period November–April. We firstly study the historic period 1980–2004 in which we validate projection models with observations. Then we compare the model results with future period 2025–2049 RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The aim of the study is to calculate the probability of the events and to locate the areas where those are higher and how the probabilities will change at the future.
Pablo Garcia Rivera, Brian T. Dinkelacker, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Peter J. Adams, and Spyros N. Pandis
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 2011–2027, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2011-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2011-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The contribution of various pollution sources to the variability of fine PM in an urban area was examined using as an example the city of Pittsburgh. Biomass burning aerosol shows the largest variability during the winter with local maxima within the city and in the suburbs. During both periods the largest contributing source to the average PM2.5 is particles from outside the modeling domain. The average population-weighted PM2.5 concentration does not change significantly with resolution.
Ksakousti Skyllakou, Pablo Garcia Rivera, Brian Dinkelacker, Eleni Karnezi, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Carlos Hernandez, Peter J. Adams, and Spyros N. Pandis
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 17115–17132, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-17115-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-17115-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Significant reductions in pollutant emissions took place in the US from 1990 to 2010. The reductions in sulfur dioxide emissions from electric-generating units have dominated the reductions in fine particle mass. The reductions in transportation emissions have led to a 30 % reduction of elemental concentrations and of organic particulate matter by a factor of 3. On the other hand, changes in biomass burning and biogenic secondary organic aerosol have been modest.
Stefano Galmarini, Paul Makar, Olivia E. Clifton, Christian Hogrefe, Jesse O. Bash, Roberto Bellasio, Roberto Bianconi, Johannes Bieser, Tim Butler, Jason Ducker, Johannes Flemming, Alma Hodzic, Christopher D. Holmes, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Richard Kranenburg, Aurelia Lupascu, Juan Luis Perez-Camanyo, Jonathan Pleim, Young-Hee Ryu, Roberto San Jose, Donna Schwede, Sam Silva, and Ralf Wolke
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 15663–15697, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15663-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15663-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This technical note presents the research protocols for phase 4 of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII4). This initiative has three goals: (i) to define the state of wet and dry deposition in regional models, (ii) to evaluate how dry deposition influences air concentration and flux predictions, and (iii) to identify the causes for prediction differences. The evaluation compares LULC-specific dry deposition and effective conductances and fluxes.
Walter David, Francesco Giannino, Duncan Heathfield, Antony Hubervic, Attila Aknai, Athanasios Sfetsos, and Silvia Elena Piovan
Adv. Cartogr. GIScience Int. Cartogr. Assoc., 1, 4, https://doi.org/10.5194/ica-adv-1-4-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/ica-adv-1-4-2019, 2019
Marina Astitha, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Ghezae Araya Fisseha, Roberto Bianconi, Johannes Bieser, Jesper H. Christensen, Owen R. Cooper, Stefano Galmarini, Christian Hogrefe, Ulas Im, Bryan Johnson, Peng Liu, Uarporn Nopmongcol, Irina Petropavlovskikh, Efisio Solazzo, David W. Tarasick, and Greg Yarwood
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 13925–13945, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-13925-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-13925-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
This work is unique in the detailed analyses of modeled ozone vertical profiles from sites in North America through the collaboration of four research groups from the US and EU. We assess the air quality models' performance and model inter-comparison for ozone vertical profiles and stratospheric ozone intrusions. Lastly, we designate the important role of lateral boundary conditions in the ozone vertical profiles using chemically inert tracers.
Stefano Galmarini, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Efisio Solazzo, Ummugulsum Alyuz, Alessandra Balzarini, Roberto Bellasio, Anna M. K. Benedictow, Roberto Bianconi, Johannes Bieser, Joergen Brandt, Jesper H. Christensen, Augustin Colette, Gabriele Curci, Yanko Davila, Xinyi Dong, Johannes Flemming, Xavier Francis, Andrea Fraser, Joshua Fu, Daven K. Henze, Christian Hogrefe, Ulas Im, Marta Garcia Vivanco, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Jan Eiof Jonson, Nutthida Kitwiroon, Astrid Manders, Rohit Mathur, Laura Palacios-Peña, Guido Pirovano, Luca Pozzoli, Marie Prank, Martin Schultz, Rajeet S. Sokhi, Kengo Sudo, Paolo Tuccella, Toshihiko Takemura, Takashi Sekiya, and Alper Unal
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 8727–8744, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8727-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8727-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
An ensemble of model results relating to ozone concentrations in Europe in 2010 has been produced and studied. The novelty consists in the fact that the ensemble is made of results of models working at two different scales (regional and global), therefore contributing in detail two different parts of the atmospheric spectrum. The ensemble defined as a hybrid has been studied in detail and shown to bring additional value to the assessment of air quality.
Ulas Im, Jørgen Brandt, Camilla Geels, Kaj Mantzius Hansen, Jesper Heile Christensen, Mikael Skou Andersen, Efisio Solazzo, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Ummugulsum Alyuz, Alessandra Balzarini, Rocio Baro, Roberto Bellasio, Roberto Bianconi, Johannes Bieser, Augustin Colette, Gabriele Curci, Aidan Farrow, Johannes Flemming, Andrea Fraser, Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero, Nutthida Kitwiroon, Ciao-Kai Liang, Uarporn Nopmongcol, Guido Pirovano, Luca Pozzoli, Marje Prank, Rebecca Rose, Ranjeet Sokhi, Paolo Tuccella, Alper Unal, Marta Garcia Vivanco, Jason West, Greg Yarwood, Christian Hogrefe, and Stefano Galmarini
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 5967–5989, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5967-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5967-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The impacts of air pollution on human health and their costs in Europe and the United States for the year 2010 ared modeled by a multi-model ensemble. In Europe, the number of premature deaths is calculated to be 414 000, while in the US it is estimated to be 160 000. Health impacts estimated by individual models can vary up to a factor of 3. Results show that the domestic emissions have the largest impact on premature deaths, compared to foreign sources.
Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Ulas Im, Efisio Solazzo, Roberto Bianconi, Alba Badia, Alessandra Balzarini, Rocío Baró, Roberto Bellasio, Dominik Brunner, Charles Chemel, Gabriele Curci, Hugo Denier van der Gon, Johannes Flemming, Renate Forkel, Lea Giordano, Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero, Marcus Hirtl, Oriol Jorba, Astrid Manders-Groot, Lucy Neal, Juan L. Pérez, Guidio Pirovano, Roberto San Jose, Nicholas Savage, Wolfram Schroder, Ranjeet S. Sokhi, Dimiter Syrakov, Paolo Tuccella, Johannes Werhahn, Ralf Wolke, Christian Hogrefe, and Stefano Galmarini
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 15629–15652, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-15629-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-15629-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
Four ensemble methods are applied to two annual AQMEII datasets and their performance is compared for O3, NO2 and PM10. The goal of the study is to quantify to what extent we can extract predictable signals from an ensemble with superior skill at each station over the single models and the ensemble mean. The promotion of the right amount of accuracy and diversity within the ensemble results in an average additional skill of up to 31 % compared to using the full ensemble in an unconditional way.
I. Kioutsioukis and S. Galmarini
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 11791–11815, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-11791-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-11791-2014, 2014
E. Solazzo, A. Riccio, I. Kioutsioukis, and S. Galmarini
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 8315–8333, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-8315-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-8315-2013, 2013
S. Galmarini, I. Kioutsioukis, and E. Solazzo
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 7153–7182, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-7153-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-7153-2013, 2013
Cited articles
Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J.-J., Park, B.-K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J.-N., and
Vitart, F.: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the
data assimilation system, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553–597,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828, 2011.
De Luca, P., Messori, G., Faranda, D., Ward, P. J., and Coumou, D.: Compound
warm–dry and cold–wet events over the Mediterranean, Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 793–805, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-793-2020, 2020.
Demiroglu, O. C., Kučerová, J., and Ozcelebi, O.: Snow reliability
and climate elasticity: case of a Slovak ski resort, Tourism Rev., 70, 1–12, https://doi.org/10.1108/TR-01-2014-0003, 2015.
Emmanouil, G., Vlachogiannis, D., and Sfetsos, A.: Exploring the ability of the WRF-ARW atmospheric model to simulate different meteorological conditions in Greece, Atmos. Res., 247, 105226, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105226,
2021.
Fonseca, D., Carvalho, M. J., Marta-Almeida, M., Melo-Gonçalves, P., and
Rocha, A.: Recent trends of extreme temperature indices for the Iberian
Peninsula, Phys. Chem. Earth Pt. A/B/C, 94, 66–76, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2015.12.005, 2016.
García-Ruiz, J. M., López-Moreno, J. I., Vicente-Serrano, S. M.,
Lasanta-Martínez, T., and Beguería, S.: Mediterranean water resources in a global change scenario, Earth-Sci. Rev., 105, 121–139, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2011.01.006, 2011.
Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A.,
Muñoz-Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D.,
Simmons, A., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Abellan, X., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P.,
Biavati, G., Bidlot, J., Bonavita, M., de Chiara, G., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D.,
Diamantakis, M., Dragani, R., Flemming, J., Forbes, R., Fuentes, M., Geer,
A., Haimberger, L., Healy, S., Hogan, R. J., Hólm, E., Janisková,
M., Keeley, S., Laloyaux, P., Lopez, P., Lupu, C., Radnoti, G., de Rosnay,
P., Rozum, I., Vamborg, F., Villaume, S., and Thépaut, J. N.: The ERA5
global reanalysis, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 146, 1999–2049, https://doi.org/10.1002/QJ.3803, 2020.
Hochman, A., Marra, F., Messori, G., Pinto, J. G., Raveh-Rubin, S., Yosef, Y., and Zittis, G.: Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean, Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 749–777, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-749-2022, 2022.
Houston, T. G., Changnon, S. A., Ae, T. G. H., and Changnon, S. A.: Freezing rain events: a major weather hazard in the conterminous US, Nat. Hazards, 40, 485–494, https://doi.org/10.1007/S11069-006-9006-0, 2006.
Kundzewicz, Z. W., Radziejewski, M., and Pinskwar, I.: Precipitation extremes in the changing climate of Europe, Clim. Res., 31, 51–58,
https://doi.org/10.3354/cr031051, 2006.
Llasat, M. C., Turco, M., Quintana-Seguí, P., and Llasat-Botija, M.: The snow storm of 8 March 2010 in Catalonia (Spain): a paradigmatic wet-snow event with a high societal impact, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 427–441, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-427-2014, 2014.
Markantonis, I., Vlachogiannis, D., Sfetsos, T., Kioutsioukis, I., and Politi, N.: An Investigation of cold-wet Compound Events in Greece, in: EMS
Annual Meeting 2021, 6–10 September 2021, online, EMS2021-188,
https://doi.org/10.5194/ems2021-188, 2021.
Markantonis, I., Vlachogiannis, D., Sfetsos, A., and Kioutsioukis, I.:
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between
2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece, Earth Syst.
Dynam., 13, 1491–1504, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1491-2022, 2022.
Pestereva, N. M., Popova, N. Y., and Shagarov, L. M.: Modern climate change
and mountain skiing tourism: the Alps and the Caucasus, Europ. Res., 30, 1602–1617, 2012.
Politi, N., Nastos, P. T., Sfetsos, A., Vlachogiannis, D., and Dalezios, N. R.: Evaluation of the AWR-WRF model configuration at high resolution over the domain of Greece, Atmos. Res., 208, 229–245,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.10.019, 2018.
Politi, N., Vlachogiannis, D., Sfetsos, A., and Nastos, P. T.: High-resolution dynamical downscaling of ERA-Interim temperature and precipitation using WRF model for Greece, Clim. Dynam., 57, 1–27, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05741-9, 2021.
Trujillo, E., Molotch, N. P., Goulden, M. L., Kelly, A. E., and Bales, R. C.: Elevation- dependent influence of snow accumulation on forest greening, Nat. Geosci., 5, 705–709, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1571, 2012.
Vajda, A., Tuomenvirta, H., Juga, I., Nurmi, P., Jokinen, P., and Rauhala,
J.: Severe weather affecting European transport systems: the identification,
classification and frequencies of events, Nat. Hazards, 72, 169–188,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0895-4, 2014.
Vogel, J., Paton, E., and Aich, V.: Seasonal ecosystem vulnerability to climatic anomalies in the Mediterranean, Biogeosciences, 18, 5903–5927,
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5903-2021, 2021.
Zhang, W., Luo, M., Gao, S., Chen, W., Hari, V., and Khouakhi, A.: Compound
Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms and Methods, Front. Earth Sci., 9, 941, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.673495, 2021.
Short summary
This paper examines the simulataneous exceedance of daily accumulated precipitation (RR) and minimum (TN) temperature thresholds in Greece for the period 1980–2004 and for each month in the period November to April. Available data from observations and projection simulations are used to calculate the probabilities of extreme wet-cold compound events at the past. Models are validated by the observational data.
This paper examines the simulataneous exceedance of daily accumulated precipitation (RR) and...
