Articles | Volume 18
13 Jul 2021
 | 13 Jul 2021

Climate change projections of maximum temperature in the pre-monsoon season in Bangladesh using statistical downscaling of global climate models

M. Bazlur Rashid, Syed Shahadat Hossain, M. Abdul Mannan, Kajsa M. Parding, Hans Olav Hygen, Rasmus E. Benestad, and Abdelkader Mezghani

Data sets

Code for empirical-statistical downscaling analysis K. Parding and M. B. Rashid

ERA5 monthly averaged data on single levels from 1979 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut

Short summary
This study presents estimates of the maximum temperature in Bangladesh for the 21st century for the pre-monsoon season (March–May), the hottest season in Bangladesh. The maximum temperature is important as indicator of the frequency and severity of heatwaves. Several emission scenarios were considered assuming different developments in the emission of greenhouse gases. Results show that there will likely be a heating of at least 1 to 2 degrees Celsius.