Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research
ASR
Articles | Volume 16
Articles | Volume 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-165-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-165-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16
13 Aug 2019
 | 13 Aug 2019

Regionally improved seasonal forecast of precipitation through Best estimation of winter NAO

Eroteida Sánchez-García, José Voces-Aboy, Beatriz Navascués, and Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino

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Short summary
We have described a methodology for ensemble member’s weighting of operational seasonal forecasting systems based on an enhanced prediction of a driver of climate variability strongly affecting certain climate variables (e.g. temperature, precipitation) over a certain region. We have applied it to the North Atlantic Oscillation influence on the Iberian Peninsula winter precipitation. This approach is fully general and consequently applicable to any other SFS providing a skilful NAO signal.
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