Articles | Volume 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-165-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-165-2019
13 Aug 2019
 | 13 Aug 2019

Regionally improved seasonal forecast of precipitation through Best estimation of winter NAO

Eroteida Sánchez-García, José Voces-Aboy, Beatriz Navascués, and Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino

Related authors

Climate Services Toolbox (CSTools) v4.0: from climate forecasts to climate forecast information
Núria Pérez-Zanón, Louis-Philippe Caron, Silvia Terzago, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Llorenç Lledó, Nicolau Manubens, Emmanuel Roulin, M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Lauriane Batté, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Susana Corti, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Marta Domínguez, Federico Fabiano, Ignazio Giuntoli, Jost von Hardenberg, Eroteida Sánchez-García, Verónica Torralba, and Deborah Verfaillie
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6115–6142, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6115-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6115-2022, 2022
Short summary
Development of an empirical model for seasonal forecasting over the Mediterranean
Esteban Rodríguez-Guisado, Antonio Ángel Serrano-de la Torre, Eroteida Sánchez-García, Marta Domínguez-Alonso, and Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino
Adv. Sci. Res., 16, 191–199, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-191-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-191-2019, 2019
Short summary
Web-based decision support toolbox for Spanish reservoirs
Jose Voces-Aboy, Inmaculada Abia-Llera, Eroteida Sánchez-García, Beatriz Navascués, Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino, María Nieves Garrido-del-Pozo, María Concepción García-Gómez, José Adolfo Álvarez-González, and Fernando Pastor-Argüello
Adv. Sci. Res., 16, 157–163, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-157-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-157-2019, 2019
Short summary

Cited articles

Athanasiadis, P. J., Bellucci, A., Scaife, A., Hermanson, L., Meteria, S., Sanna, A., Borrelli, A., MacLachlan, C., and Gualdi, S.: A Multisystem View of Wintertime NAO Seasonal Predictions, J. Climate, 30, 1461–1475, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0153.1, 2017. 
Climate Data Store: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu, last access: 8 August 2019. 
Coelho, C. A. S. and Pezzulli, S.: Forecast Calibration and Combination: A Simple Bayesian Approach for ENSO, J. Climate, 17, 1504–1516, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1504:FCACAS>2.0.CO;2, 2004. 
Cohen, J. and Jones, J.: A new index for more accurate winter predictions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L21701, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049626, 2011. 
Download
Short summary
We have described a methodology for ensemble member’s weighting of operational seasonal forecasting systems based on an enhanced prediction of a driver of climate variability strongly affecting certain climate variables (e.g. temperature, precipitation) over a certain region. We have applied it to the North Atlantic Oscillation influence on the Iberian Peninsula winter precipitation. This approach is fully general and consequently applicable to any other SFS providing a skilful NAO signal.